Welcome to HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings

“Prediction is difficult – especially about the future.”
WERNER HEISENBERG

Welcome to the home of HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings. Our old website can still be viewed here, for a limited time, but all up-to-date information can be found here on the new site.

HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings are designed for a statistics-grounded value approach to horse racing over jumps in the UK. Unlike conventional race ratings, they offer the backer an authoritative guide to both form and value. The program which generates the ratings uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate each horse’s chance of winning. The resulting figures are then recalculated to give an edge in the backer’s favour. Hence the acronym: Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.

The HOOF  National Hunt race ratings service publishes accurate, innovative, and informative race ratings, with the emphasis placed firmly on finding good value. We have been on the Internet since the 1995-96 NH season, initially as a free service, and latterly by subscription.  The success of the race ratings and the integrity of the service means that we have stood our ground with a small but loyal nucleus of satisfied users.

FREE DATA UPDATE

The System B pages have been updated with a free downloadable spreadsheet containing the data for the HOOF Race Ratings 2014-15 season (November-April inclusive). Click on the System B link to download.


LATEST NEWS: ARCHIVE UPDATED
The HOOF race ratings archive has now been updated with the spreadsheet for the 2014-15 season.

Top-rated results for 2013-14 have now been updated. Top-rated and second top-rated results for 2014-15 will be published shortly.

HOOF RACE RATINGS RETURN FOR THE 2015-16 SEASON
Publication of the ratings will resume after the customary summer break, on 1st November. The cost of a full season’s subscription remains unchanged at £99.

If you would like to subscribe, please let us know by email of your intention. You will be placed without delay on the distribution list pending receipt of your remittance.

The history behind HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings

HOTMAIL PROBLEMS
Will those applying for a free trial please note that they cannot be contacted at a Hotmail account, since Hotmail have blacklisted one of the SMTP servers at Orange. To benefit from a free trial, you will have to set up and alternative email account.

FREE RACE RATINGS

ENTIRE MEETINGS WILL NOW BE PUBLISHED ON RANDOM DAYS

TYPICALLY THIS WILL INVOLVE ONE OR TWO MEETINGS PER WEEK

08 Feb 2016

08 Feb 2016

Fakenham:1:45 Handicap hurdle:5 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Vent Nivernais           0.329  85-40    10-3    9-2   2.332

Astrum                   0.236   10-3    11-2    7-1   3.249

Lake Chapala             0.207    4-1     6-1    8-1   3.707

Sawwala                  0.173    5-1    15-2   10-1   4.437
Fifi L'amour             0.052   20-1    28-1   40-1   14.62

Fakenham:2:20 Novice hurdle:5 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Dexcite                  0.302    5-2     4-1    5-1   2.542
Prince Of Steal          0.298    5-2     4-1    5-1    2.58

Hollies Pearl            0.243   10-3     5-1    7-1   3.161

Dalkadam                 0.092   10-1    16-1   20-1    8.31

Bingo D'olivate          0.063   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.11

Fakenham:2:50 Handicap chase:5 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Halo Moon                0.515  EVENS    15-8    2-1   1.492

Celtic Intrigue          0.211    4-1     6-1    8-1   3.632

Alanjou                  0.149    6-1     9-1   12-1    5.16

Fine Parchment           0.073   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.42
Ravens Brook             0.049   20-1    28-1   40-1   15.39

Fakenham:3:20 Handicap hurdle:7 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Fine Tune                0.223    7-2    11-2    7-1   3.445

Lee Side Lady            0.165   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.644
Daliance                 0.159   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.815

Bishop Wulstan           0.136   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.644
Daphiglote               0.133   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.758

Tara Mac                 0.114    8-1    12-1   16-1   6.721
Kayfton Pete             0.067   14-1    22-1   28-1   11.46

Fakenham:3:50 Handicap chase:6 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
It's Oscar               0.253    3-1     5-1    6-1   3.033

Mandy's Boy              0.229    7-2    11-2    7-1   3.345

Entry To Evrywhere       0.197    9-2    13-2    9-1   3.902

On The Case              0.133   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.753
Tenby Jewel              0.093   10-1    16-1   20-1   8.191
Topthorn                 0.091   10-1    16-1   20-1   8.379

Fakenham:4:20 Handicap hurdle:6 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Navanman                 0.514  EVENS    15-8    2-1   1.495

Izbushka                 0.217    4-1     6-1    8-1   3.529

Yasir                    0.104    9-1    14-1   18-1   7.351

Whispering Speed         0.074   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.31
Minella Bliss            0.053   18-1    28-1   40-1   14.43
Court King               0.035   28-1    40-1   66-1   21.91

Musselburgh:1:00 Novice hurdle:11 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Theatrical Style         0.456    6-5     9-4    5-2   1.683

Ascot De Bruyere         0.284   11-4     9-2   11-2   2.702

Sweet Holly              0.149    6-1     9-1   12-1   5.148

Final Fling              0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1    33.5
Dubai Devils             0.019   50-1   100-1  100-1   38.92
This Thyne Jude          0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   42.48
Ange Des Malberaux       0.014  100-1   100-1  200-1   52.35
Secret Act               0.009  150-1   150-1  300-1   78.93
Red Piano                0.009  150-1   200-1  300-1   83.02
Mahler Bay               0.007  150-1   200-1  300-1   102.7
Benjamin Tree            0.007  150-1   250-1  300-1   109.0

Musselburgh:1:30 Handicap chase:10 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Vision De La Vie         0.221    4-1    11-2    8-1   3.472

Proud Gamble             0.166   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.621

More Madness             0.134   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.723

Resolute Reformer        0.09    11-1    16-1   22-1    8.47
Reverse The Charge       0.087   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.835
Apache Pilot             0.082   12-1    18-1   25-1   9.314
Solway Bay               0.071   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.69
Foot The Bill            0.068   14-1    20-1   28-1   11.14
West Ship Master         0.041   25-1    40-1   50-1   18.45
Tears From Heaven        0.034   28-1    50-1   66-1   22.23

Musselburgh:2:00 Novice hurdle:10 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Fagan                    0.345    2-1    10-3    4-1   2.224

Blue Rambler             0.195    9-2    13-2    9-1   3.928
Jetstream Jack           0.188    9-2     7-1    9-1   4.087

Carthage                 0.081   12-1    18-1   25-1   9.425
Lycidas                  0.081   12-1    18-1   25-1   9.437

General Mahler           0.071   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.71
Applejack Lad            0.012  100-1   150-1  200-1   59.49
Flying Native            0.012  100-1   150-1  200-1   60.62
Latin Rebel              0.006  200-1   250-1  400-1   123.6
Daytripper               0.003  500-1   500-1  NOBET   221.4

Musselburgh:2:30 Novice handicap chase:8 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Mumgos Debut             0.229    7-2    11-2    7-1   3.355

Asuncion                 0.151    6-1    17-2   12-1   5.064
Court Of Law             0.151    6-1    17-2   12-1   5.085
Harleys Max              0.15     6-1     9-1   12-1   5.118

Tomorrow's Legend        0.132    7-1    10-1   14-1   5.788

No Such Number           0.071   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.74
Clenagh Castle           0.067   14-1    22-1   28-1   11.33
Attention Please         0.045   22-1    33-1   50-1   17.09

Musselburgh:3:00 Handicap hurdle:9 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Almost Gemini            0.268   11-4     9-2   11-2   2.866

Rocklim                  0.213    4-1     6-1    8-1   3.609

Down Time                0.141   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.442

Solway Prince            0.102    9-1    14-1   18-1   7.518
What Happens Now         0.093   10-1    16-1   20-1   8.225
Ethan                    0.063   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.16
Sky Full Of Stars        0.053   18-1    28-1   40-1   14.29
Bescot Springs           0.046   22-1    33-1   50-1    16.6
Bop Along                0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   42.63

Musselburgh:3:30 Handicap hurdle:10 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
So Satisfied             0.21     4-1     6-1    8-1   3.647

Near To Tears            0.192    9-2    13-2    9-1   4.004

Lady Clitico             0.128    7-1    11-1   14-1   5.995

Celestino                0.122   15-2    11-1   16-1   6.304
Rioja Day                0.096   10-1    14-1   20-1   7.973
Sultana Belle            0.086   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.915
Claude Carter            0.059   16-1    25-1   33-1   12.92
Definitely Glad          0.05    20-1    28-1   40-1   15.33
Miss Mackie              0.033   33-1    50-1   66-1   22.79
Jonny Delta              0.02    50-1   100-1  100-1   37.47

In the event of non-runners, please use the downloadable Excel-based
non-runner update utility at:

Non-Runner Update Utility