“Prediction is difficult – especially about the future.”
Welcome to the home of HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings. Our old website can still be viewed here, for a limited time, but all up-to-date information can be found here on the new site.
HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings are designed for a statistics-grounded value approach to horse racing over jumps in the UK. Unlike conventional race ratings, they offer the backer an authoritative guide to both form and value. The program which generates the ratings uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate each horse’s chance of winning. The resulting figures are then recalculated to give an edge in the backer’s favour. Hence the acronym: Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.
The HOOF National Hunt race ratings service publishes accurate, innovative, and informative race ratings, with the emphasis placed firmly on finding good value. We have been on the Internet since the 1995-96 NH season, initially as a free service, and latterly by subscription. The success of the race ratings and the integrity of the service means that we have stood our ground with a small but loyal nucleus of satisfied users.
FREE DATA UPDATE
The System B pages have been updated with a free downloadable spreadsheet containing the data for the HOOF Race Ratings 2013-14 season (November-April inclusive). Click on the System B link to download.
The HOOF race ratings archive has now been updated with the spreadsheet for the 2013-14 season.
Top-rated results for 2013-14 have now been updated. Click on the link in the side panel to see the table.
Publication of the ratings ceased on 30th April, and will resume after a summer break, on 1st November. With the flat season in full swing, the market is not really strong enough during the summer months to justify publishing the ratings in the hope of finding outstanding value. Instead, the free time will be used to bring the database up to date, and to analyze the previous season’s trends.
Will those applying for a free trial please note that they cannot be contacted at a Hotmail account, since Hotmail have blacklisted one of the SMTP servers at Orange. To benefit from a free trial, you will have to set up and alternative email account.
The top three went through the 7-race card at Ayr on 3rd March. Captain Box (second-top) 2/1 Mossies Well (top-rated) 9/4 Plus Jamais (top-rated) 9/2 Minella Fiveo (top-rated) 9/4 Hartforth (third-top) 3/1 Presenting Junior (top-rated) 12/1 Scimon Templar (top-rated) 9/4 The top two went through an admittedly easy card at Fakenham on 13th March. RECENT BIG-PRICED WINNERS CLEARLY INDICATED AS VALUE BY HOOF RACE RATINGSDATE HORSE VALUE ODDS INDUSTRY SP AVAILABLE BETFAIR ODDS 06 Mar Presenting Junior 13/2 12/1 17/1 07 Mar Anay Turge 10/1 7/1 13/1 09 Mar Don't Do Mondays 9/1 16/1 13/1 11 Mar Qualando 14/1 25/1 29/1 Galactic Power 8/1 16/1 26/1 12 Mar Ozzy Thomas 7/1 7/1 11/1 14 Mar Apache Pilot 17/2 9/1 10/1 15 Mar Central Flame 4/1 10/1 10/1 17 Mar Cowslip 8/1 8/1 10/1 19 Mar Forgivienne 9/1 17/2 10/1 24 Mar Flaming Thistle 10/1 10/1 10/1 26 Mar Tothemoonandback 7/1 8/1 11/1 31 Mar Party Palace 15/2 9/1 14/1 10 Apr Money Talks 9/2 14/1 25/1 14 Apr Ocean Venture 13/2 25/1 60/1 17 Apr Jennys Melody 8/1 10/1 12/1 18 Apr Gray Hession 10/1 17/2 11/1 19 Apr Tara Dove 8/1 10/1 12/1 20 Apr Madame De Guise 17/2 8/1 10/1 22 Apr Sun Cloud 10/1 8/1 10/1 Passing Fiesta 8/1 13/2 10/1 30 Apr Interpleader 10/1 15/2 14/1