Welcome to HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings

“Prediction is difficult – especially about the future.”
WERNER HEISENBERG

Welcome to the home of HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings. Our old website can still be viewed here, for a limited time, but all up-to-date information can be found here on the new site.

HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings are designed for a statistics-grounded value approach to horse racing over jumps in the UK. Unlike conventional race ratings, they offer the backer an authoritative guide to both form and value. The program which generates the ratings uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate each horse’s chance of winning. The resulting figures are then recalculated to give an edge in the backer’s favour. Hence the acronym: Horserace Optimum Odds Forecast.

The HOOF  National Hunt race ratings service publishes accurate, innovative, and informative race ratings, with the emphasis placed firmly on finding good value. We have been on the Internet since the 1995-96 NH season, initially as a free service, and latterly by subscription.  The success of the race ratings and the integrity of the service means that we have stood our ground with a small but loyal nucleus of satisfied users.

FREE DATA UPDATE

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LATEST NEWS: ARCHIVE UPDATED
The HOOF race ratings archive has now been updated with the spreadsheet for the 2014-15 season.

Top-rated results for 2013-14 have now been updated. Top-rated and second top-rated results for 2014-15 will be published shortly.

HOOF RACE RATINGS RETURN FOR THE 2015-16 SEASON
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The history behind HOOF National Hunt Race Ratings

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FREE RACE RATINGS

ENTIRE MEETINGS WILL NOW BE PUBLISHED ON RANDOM DAYS

TYPICALLY THIS WILL INVOLVE ONE OR TWO MEETINGS PER WEEK

18 Mar 2016

18 Mar 2017

Cheltenham:1:30 Novice hurdle:15 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Sceau Royal              0.113    8-1    12-1   16-1   6.794

Zubayr                   0.109   17-2    14-1   18-1     7.0
Connetable               0.109   17-2    14-1   18-1   7.037

Apple's Jade             0.095   10-1    14-1   20-1   8.029

Clan Des Obeaux          0.086   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.938
Ivanovich Gorbatov       0.08    12-1    18-1   25-1   9.529
Footpad                  0.08    12-1    18-1   25-1   9.582
Leoncavallo              0.063   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.17
Gibralfaro               0.056   18-1    25-1   40-1   13.68
Let's Dance              0.053   18-1    28-1   40-1   14.43
Who Dares Wins           0.049   20-1    28-1   40-1    15.4
Consul De Thaix          0.035   28-1    40-1   66-1    21.9
Tommy Silver             0.031   33-1    50-1   66-1   24.07
Frodon                   0.03    33-1    50-1   66-1   24.84
Big Mcintosh             0.004  250-1   500-1  500-1   189.4

Cheltenham:2:10 Handicap hurdle:26 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Great Field              0.15     6-1     9-1   12-1    5.12

Modus                    0.087   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.763
Wait For Me              0.086   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.888

John Constable           0.068   14-1    20-1   28-1   11.29

Cardinal Walter          0.062   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.29
Blue Hell                0.05    20-1    28-1   40-1   15.22
Some Plan                0.042   25-1    33-1   50-1   18.24
Francis Of Assisi        0.03    33-1    50-1   66-1   25.37
Henry Higgins            0.029   33-1    50-1   66-1   25.87
Hawk High                0.028   40-1    50-1   80-1   26.54
Superb Story             0.028   40-1    50-1   80-1    27.3
Starchitect              0.028   40-1    66-1   80-1   27.46
Bentelimar               0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.01
Zamdy Man                0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.17
All Yours                0.025   40-1    66-1   80-1   29.59
Draco                    0.024   50-1    66-1  100-1   31.94
Montbazon                0.023   50-1    66-1  100-1   32.44
Fethard Player           0.023   50-1    66-1  100-1   32.57
Kayf Blanco              0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   33.74
Devilment                0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   33.94
Ivan Grozny              0.02    50-1   100-1  100-1   37.49
Mad Jack Mytton          0.02    50-1   100-1  100-1   37.49
Cheltenian               0.019   50-1   100-1  100-1    38.5
Dicosimo                 0.017   66-1   100-1  150-1   44.53
Sternrubin               0.017   66-1   100-1  150-1   44.53
Sizing Tennessee         0.013  100-1   150-1  200-1   55.86

Cheltenham:2:50 Novice hurdle:20 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Barters Hill             0.175    5-1    15-2   10-1   4.384

Unowhatimeanharry        0.117    8-1    12-1   16-1    6.54

Shantou Village          0.092   10-1    16-1   20-1   8.352

Bleu Et Rouge            0.067   14-1    22-1   28-1   11.36
Champers On Ice          0.063   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.04
Gangster                 0.052   20-1    28-1   40-1   14.71
Jonniesofa               0.051   20-1    28-1   40-1   15.02
Aurillac                 0.046   22-1    33-1   50-1   16.67
Up For Review            0.042   25-1    33-1   50-1   18.28
Hit The Highway          0.039   25-1    40-1   50-1   19.34
Long Dog                 0.038   28-1    40-1   66-1   20.13
Fagan                    0.033   33-1    50-1   66-1   22.76
Solstice Star            0.033   33-1    50-1   66-1   23.09
Atlantic Gold            0.029   40-1    50-1   80-1    26.5
Balko Des Flos           0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.33
Open Eagle               0.025   40-1    66-1   80-1   29.93
Definite Outcome         0.019   50-1   100-1  100-1   39.01
Allysson Monterg         0.019   66-1   100-1  150-1   40.41
Bachasson                0.015   66-1   100-1  150-1   49.34
West Approach            0.01   100-1   150-1  200-1   74.41

Cheltenham:3:30 Non handicap chase:10 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Don Cossack              0.265    3-1     9-2    6-1     2.9

Don Poli                 0.241   10-3     5-1    7-1    3.19

Smad Place               0.142   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.399
Cue Card                 0.133   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.741

Djakadam                 0.068   14-1    20-1   28-1   11.21
Carlingford Lough        0.042   25-1    33-1   50-1    18.0
Road To Riches           0.04    25-1    40-1   50-1   18.79
Irish Cavalier           0.026   40-1    66-1   80-1   29.19
On His Own               0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   34.55
O'faolains Boy           0.016   66-1   100-1  150-1   46.85

Cheltenham:4:10 Non handicap chase:24 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
It Came To Pass          0.163   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.716

On The Fringe            0.114    8-1    12-1   16-1   6.724

Paint The Clouds         0.093   10-1    16-1   20-1   8.242

Marito                   0.087   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.744
Current Event            0.083   12-1    18-1   25-1   9.246
Mendip Express           0.081   12-1    18-1   25-1   9.469
Pacha Du Polder          0.064   16-1    22-1   33-1   11.98
Twirling Magnet          0.046   22-1    33-1   50-1   16.68
Aupcharlie               0.038   25-1    40-1   50-1   19.82
Camden                   0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.17
Mr Mercurial             0.023   50-1    66-1  100-1    33.3
Dark Lover               0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   34.41
Pena Dorada              0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   41.26
Cave Hunter              0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   41.37
Alskamatic               0.016   66-1   100-1  150-1   46.78
Brackloon High           0.016   66-1   100-1  150-1   46.93
Impact Area              0.015   66-1   100-1  150-1   49.09
Current Exchange         0.015   66-1   100-1  150-1    50.2
Richmond                 0.014  100-1   100-1  200-1   54.15
Need To Know             0.013  100-1   150-1  200-1   57.74
Chapoturgeon             0.007  150-1   200-1  300-1   107.5
Indiana Bay              0.006  150-1   250-1  300-1   113.4
Temple Grandin           0.006  150-1   250-1  300-1   115.6
Major Malarkey           0.005  200-1   250-1  400-1   133.5

Cheltenham:4:50 Handicap hurdle:24 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Squouateur               0.151    6-1    17-2   12-1   5.092

Flying Angel             0.095   10-1    14-1   20-1   8.027

Montdragon               0.073   14-1    20-1   28-1   10.43

Westend Star             0.062   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.24
Mr Mix                   0.057   18-1    25-1   40-1   13.43
Work In Progress         0.053   18-1    28-1   40-1   14.29
Bivouac                  0.044   22-1    33-1   50-1   17.27
Qualando                 0.037   28-1    40-1   66-1   20.32
Childrens List           0.034   28-1    50-1   66-1   22.19
Ibis Du Rheu             0.034   28-1    50-1   66-1    22.3
Jetstream Jack           0.033   33-1    50-1   66-1   22.66
Label Des Obeaux         0.032   33-1    50-1   66-1   23.65
Urano                    0.031   33-1    50-1   66-1   24.12
Goodwood Mirage          0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.04
Matorico                 0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1   28.39
Whiteout                 0.026   40-1    66-1   80-1   29.39
Handiwork                0.025   40-1    66-1   80-1   30.39
Roadie Joe               0.025   40-1    66-1   80-1   30.72
Sky Khan                 0.024   50-1    66-1  100-1    31.8
Zulu Oscar               0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   33.93
Nabucco                  0.021   50-1    66-1  100-1    35.2
Buiseness Sivola         0.021   50-1   100-1  100-1   36.24
Laurium                  0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   42.48
Tully East               0.016   66-1   100-1  150-1   46.26

Cheltenham:5:30 Handicap chase:24 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Chris Pea Green          0.064   16-1    22-1   33-1   11.96
Velvet Maker             0.062   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.26
Dandridge                0.062   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.34
Arthur's Oak             0.059   16-1    25-1   33-1   12.83

Red Spinner              0.052   18-1    28-1   40-1   14.58

Rock The World           0.052   20-1    28-1   40-1   14.72
Pearls Legend            0.049   20-1    28-1   40-1   15.46

Gardefort                0.046   22-1    33-1   50-1    16.5
Raven's Tower            0.044   22-1    33-1   50-1   17.21
Bright New Dawn          0.044   22-1    33-1   50-1   17.36
Sizing Codelco           0.042   25-1    33-1   50-1   17.93
Croco Bay                0.041   25-1    40-1   50-1   18.45
Solar Impulse            0.041   25-1    40-1   50-1   18.74
Next Sensation           0.04    25-1    40-1   50-1   19.22
The Saint James          0.039   25-1    40-1   50-1    19.3
Germany Calling          0.038   25-1    40-1   50-1   19.99
Bold Henry               0.037   28-1    40-1   66-1   20.59
Workbench                0.035   28-1    40-1   66-1   21.55
Lough Kent               0.029   40-1    50-1   80-1   26.24
Dresden                  0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1    27.8
Savello                  0.026   40-1    66-1   80-1   29.13
Dunraven Storm           0.022   50-1    66-1  100-1   33.96
Eastlake                 0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   40.95
Surf And Turf            0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   41.25

Fakenham:1:55 Non handicap hurdle:7 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Kiama Bay                0.381   13-8    11-4   10-3   2.017

Changing The Guard       0.182    9-2     7-1    9-1   4.214

Goal                     0.175    5-1    15-2   10-1   4.395

The Scourge              0.121   15-2    11-1   16-1   6.306
It's A Mans World        0.099   10-1    14-1   20-1   7.765
Je T'aime Encore         0.027   40-1    66-1   80-1    27.6
Cocker                   0.012  100-1   150-1  200-1   62.51

Fakenham:2:35 Novice chase:6 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Bon Chic                 0.796   4-11     4-5  11-10   0.965

Rhythm Star              0.104    9-1    14-1   18-1   7.369

Veauce De Sivola         0.062   16-1    22-1   33-1   12.36

The Jugopolist           0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   41.63
The Society Man          0.012  100-1   150-1  200-1   61.36
Steepleofcopper          0.005  200-1   250-1  400-1   134.8

Fakenham:3:15 Novice hurdle:11 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Baltic Storm             0.288    5-2     4-1    5-1   2.664

Persian Breeze           0.21     4-1     6-1    8-1    3.65

Deadly Approach          0.193    9-2    13-2    9-1   3.974

Hannington               0.151    6-1    17-2   12-1   5.067
Jethro                   0.057   18-1    25-1   40-1   13.34
Marshgate Lane           0.046   22-1    33-1   50-1   16.64
Winola                   0.018   66-1   100-1  150-1   40.53
Arroyeau                 0.011  100-1   150-1  200-1   69.35
Water For Life           0.01   100-1   150-1  200-1   70.77
Chief Spirit             0.007  150-1   200-1  300-1   98.58
Monzino                  0.002  500-1   NOBET  NOBET   290.4

Fakenham:3:55 Handicap hurdle:14 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Instant Karma            0.164   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.682
Boss Des Mottes          0.156   11-2    17-2   11-1   4.904

Gin And Tonic            0.097   10-1    14-1   20-1   7.885

Fair Loch                0.084   11-1    16-1   22-1   9.075

Edward Elgar             0.08    12-1    18-1   25-1   9.578
Officer Drivel           0.076   14-1    18-1   28-1   10.09
Beatabout The Bush       0.067   14-1    22-1   28-1   11.43
Qasser                   0.059   16-1    25-1   33-1   12.83
Knight's Parade          0.048   20-1    33-1   40-1   15.95
Domtaline                0.039   25-1    40-1   50-1   19.38
Spa's Dancer             0.037   28-1    40-1   66-1   20.66
Shalambar                0.036   28-1    40-1   66-1   20.95
Occasionally Yours       0.035   28-1    40-1   66-1   21.93
Vedani                   0.015   66-1   100-1  150-1   48.14

Fakenham:4:35 Handicap chase:6 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Gamain                   0.27    11-4     9-2   11-2   2.843

Ballyadeen               0.19     9-2     7-1    9-1   4.041

Emerald Rose             0.166   11-2     8-1   11-1   4.622

Wings Attract            0.146    6-1     9-1   12-1   5.237
Harristown               0.134   13-2    10-1   14-1   5.698
Noble Legend             0.09    11-1    16-1   22-1   8.462

Fakenham:5:10 Handicap chase:7 rnrs 
HORSE                  TR-PROB TR-ODDS   V-30  V-PLUS  LAY_30
Vent Nivernais           0.355   15-8    10-3    4-1   2.161

Larteta                  0.276   11-4     9-2   11-2    2.78

Miss Dimples             0.123   15-2    11-1   16-1   6.224

Petit Ecuyer             0.089   11-1    16-1   22-1   8.575
Highbury High            0.058   18-1    25-1   40-1   13.18
Midnight Charmer         0.056   18-1    25-1   40-1    13.6
That's The Deal          0.039   25-1    40-1   50-1   19.58

In the event of non-runners, please use the downloadable Excel-based
non-runner update utility at:

https://horseraceratings.wordpress.com/2012/10/01/how-to-update-the-ratings-in-the-event-of-non-runners/